Zim dollar will need at least two years to operate as a stable currency: Mthuli Ncube

vantunews 8th November, 2019 #Hyper Inflation #Ministry Of Finance #Mthuli Ncube #Zimdollar #Currency Crisis #Two Years
Zim dollar will need at least two years to operate as a stable currency: Mthuli Ncube

In accordance with the Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube, the Zimbabwean dollar — which was demonitised in 2009 before being re-introduced in June — will need at least two years to operate as a stable currency.

The local unit has continued losing value against the United States dollar and other currencies. The US dollar was trading at 1:15 against the local currency on the interbank market this week, 

Speaking on Wednesday ahead of the 2020 National Budget statement scheduled for next week, Ncube said: “I think (it will take) a minimum of two years (to stabilise) because we have to make sure that the domestic currency can retain value. It is about to make sure that the domestic currency is very stable and retain value and build confidence on it and then the pricing moves away from US dollar pricing

“It is about building confidence in domestic currency and usually that takes two years or so and that is okay and I have no issue with that as long as the domestic currency is retaining value in the process. If we allow it to depreciate faster, people will return to (the) US dollar.”

From his statement arises more questions than answers. How are they planning on making sure that the domestic currency can retain value? With the currency's constant loss in value, confidence in it is continuously decreased.

The introduction of a local currency was criticised by financial experts who argued that the country did not have solid economic fundamentals to shore up the Zimdollar and that is the reason why it is constantly losing value.

The fundamentals include low and stable inflation, high levels of productive capacity, increased exports, foreign currency reserves, political and economic stability, reduction of high debt ratios and attaining substantial gross domestic product growth rate of at least 7%.

Ncube, on the contrary, however, says the currency is undervalued and there is need for the government to restore confidence in order to stabilise the Zimbabwean dollar.

“Absolutely, our currency is undervalued. There is no question about it. The study that we did, the Reserve Bank did their own independent study and we both confirmed each other’s result, working out from the equilibrium exchange market rate is giving us an exchange rate of no higher than seven so the rest is confidence, premium, and political stability,” he said.

Ncube said the transitional structures in place are aimed at achieving a tallying ratio between the dollar and the electronic transfer which is normally between 15 % and 75%.

“If you look at the cash in circulation for the rand, 15% is in circulation, 75% is electronic so we want to get to that part. That is where we are headed. But we cannot get there in one year, that’s why you see we have these transitional structures,” he said.